Seismology | Earthquake Physics | Automated Monitoring

Navin Thapa

Seismologist | Recent PhD, University of Memphis

I am a seismologist whose research bridges laboratory rock mechanics and observational seismology. I completed my PhD at the Center for Earthquake Research and Information, University of Memphis, in the Earthquake Physics Laboratory of Dr. Thomas Goebel. My work addresses the physics of faulting across scales — from controlled laboratory experiments to earthquake sequences in subduction zones, volcanic systems, and Enhanced Geothermal Systems.

Research Focus

Understanding earthquakes — from controlled experiments to continuous monitoring

Laboratory Earthquake Physics and Fault Mechanics

From grain-scale heterogeneity to fault-scale rupture

My research investigates how the compositional structure of fault gouge governs the nucleation, propagation, and arrest of slip events. Using analog fault materials, including glass bead–quartz mixtures and polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) blocks, I design controlled laboratory experiments that span the mechanical continuum from stick-slip to stable sliding. I integrate far-field mechanical records, locally resolved stress measurements, and Digital Image Correlation (DIC) of the deformation field to characterize the preparatory phase that precedes dynamic rupture. My broader objective is to translate observable precursory signatures from controlled experiments into diagnostic frameworks applicable to natural fault systems.

Induced and Geothermal Seismicity

Constraining the seismic footprint of subsurface fluid operations

My research addresses the physical and operational controls on seismicity associated with subsurface fluid injection and geothermal energy production. Through integrated analysis of regional seismic catalogs, source-parameter characterization, and operational injection records, I work to constrain the geomechanical conditions under which fluid migration perturbs the stress field sufficiently to trigger detectable earthquakes. I place particular emphasis on differentiating natural background activity from operationally induced events and on identifying the parameters most useful for forecasting hazard during reservoir development. My findings are intended to inform mitigation protocols for geothermal projects and other industrial activities dependent on managed subsurface fluid flow.

Machine Learning for Real-Time Seismic Monitoring

Real-time intelligence for seismic hazard

My research develops machine-learning architectures for the automated detection, classification, and source characterization of seismic events within continuous waveform streams. I design these algorithms for low-latency deployment in operational monitoring environments, where the interval between event onset and actionable output must remain minimal without compromising detection accuracy. My work bridges fundamental investigation of earthquake processes with field-scale instrumentation, supporting both scientific advancement and the translation of monitoring technology into public-safety and industrial applications.

Selected Publications

Recent work

Geophysical Research Letters, 2025

Does b-value increase with higher pore-pressure?: Insights from laboratory experiments and induced seismicity

Navin Thapa, Dresen Georg, and Thomas H. Goebel

DOI
Seismological Research Letters, 2025

A Community Seismic Network for the Early Detection of Seismic Activity Close to Active Volcanoes in Western El Salvador

Thomas H. Goebel, Navin Thapa, Sadia Marium Rinty, Susana Delgado Andino, Adonay Martinex-Coto, Jaqueline Rivera, and Benancio Henriquez-Miranda

DOI

Highlights

In the field, in print, in the news

Updates

Nov 8, 2024

Completed National I-Corps Program hosted by Mid South as part of the National Science Foundation's I-Corps program

June 3, 2024

Attended pyRATES: Python and R Analysis of Time SerieS at Del Rey, CA FROG: A workshop in science pratice and publishing

May 20, 2024

Attended SCOPED Workshop 2024: CyberTraining for Seismology in University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. Present Posteron Community Seismic Network in the Apaneca-Ilamatepec-Coatepeque Volcanic Complex in El Salvador.

Apr 22, 2024

News and Impact feature on UofM Division of Research and Innovation for building new seismic network around Santa Ana volcano, El Salvador during the fall of 2023 in collaboration with El Salvador

Feb 07, 2024

Research in a minute series spolight of the Dr. Thomas Goebel and Earthquake Physics Lab as the most active and accomplished researchers across various disciplines at the University of Memphis.

Dec 12, 2023

Presented Poster on "Does b-value Increase with Higher Pore Pressure?" at AGU Annual Meeting 2023, San Francisoco.

Sep 22, 2023

Visited El Salvador for setting up seismic network for volcano seismicity.

May 15, 2023

Attended second CERI annual field trip to southern california, May 15-19, 2023.

Aug 28, 2021

Joined Earthquake Physics Group at CERI led by Dr. Thomas Goebel.

Featured in University of Memphis

Shaking Up Earthquake Research with Purpose and Innovation

This spring, I was honored with the Top 30 Under 35 Award during the Graduate Student Association's Award Ceremony at the University of Memphis. The article highlights my research in geophysics, focusing on understanding fault mechanics and seismic patterns, particularly in relation to human activity and geothermal energy development.

My work combines experimental seismology and statistical analysis, with recent findings presented at AGU 2024 and a first-author manuscript published to Geophysical Research Letters.

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